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It's that time of the year when it's too easy and too boring to pick an SEC team as the national champ. Last year USC was a popular pick. This year, Ohio State is. It was ESPN last week, and now Dennis Dodd of CBS Sports. Then again, Urban does have a more proven track record than Lane Kiffin.
The SEC's seven-title run has been fun (for the SEC), but Dennis Dodd says Braxton Miller and Ohio State have the talent and motivation to end it.
I think they're very overrated at this point. Top 10 team, not the favorite though.
OSU will benefit from a crap schedule.
Same goes for Louisville. Just an awful schedule. I'd be surprised if they lost based on the weakness they will face week to week.
Gringo Mafia Director of Recruiting Analysis // POTW --> 5-16-11 / 5-30-11 / 3-5-12 / 12-30-12 / 2-24-13 / 9-1-13 / 9-22-13
tOSU's schedule is embarrassingly favorable to go undefeated; their first four games (Buffalo, SDSU, Cal, Florida A&M) are just nonsense. On the flipside, Florida's schedule is downright stud-ly.
Fortunately for me and those who also dislike Ohio State, they will learn this season that it is one thing to go 12-0 in a season with a crap schedule and 0 expectations (or consequences), and quite another to go undefeated with a target on your back (even with a crap schedule).
I think Urban is a clever coach but there is no way OSU goes undefeated this year. Last year was one of those smoke + mirror type seasons when there was no elite opponent at the end to throw you back down to Earth. There was nothing to do every week except play with abandon. There was no reason to get uptight or play with nerves. When there are no consequences, you play differently; you are a different team: a looser team and oftentimes a better team. Just ask 2012 USC. 2013 will show OSU that they have a couple years yet of strong recruiting before they're ready for any sort of title run.
Just don't get it...they played a very soft schedule, their a one trick pony on offense and their best players on the defense graduated. They'll have a good chance to make it bc of their schedule not because their a national championship contender.
Good. I hope everyone picks them. Put an even bigger bullseye on their back. They will become the team everyone in the Big Ten wants to beat. They will know how Oregon, Kansas St. and Alabama felt last year when so much was riding on every game. Only one team ran that kind of gauntlet.
I may not be pretty, but I'm fast.....
POTW 1/31/11 - 2/6/11
I'd like to see a ND and OSU NC game
MLWTI 12-2, Gringo Mafia VP of Irish Fandom
POTW Feb. 27 - Mar. 5 2012
IMO OSU is getting a ton of hype because of their typical easy schedule. The schedule makes them a safer pick.
In reality the only 3 teams on their schedule that have a legitimate chance to beat them are Wisconsin, Northwestern and of course Michigan. If any other team would find a way to beat Ohio St it would be a major upset. With their schedule if two other major (BCS) teams go undefeated Ohio St would probably not make the NC game . The problem with that is rarely are there three undefeated teams.
One thing to consider is there is a strong possibility that OSU may have to play Michigan twice to end the season if the both win their divisions. Beating Michigan twice would he tough.
I agree with you, franka, but it's those unlikely teams that can be an undefeated team's undoing. Think of Stanford vs. USC when they were 40 point dogs, or Pitt vs. the Irish last year. It's the disparity between having to take every team's best shot, week in, week out, and you having at least a few "off" weeks against them. That's where character comes into play, and why I think the Irish went unbeaten last year. You need that, plus talent, plus a soft schedule.
That's why I used the word legitimate. Nothing would give me a greater chuckle than one of those other teams on their schedule pulling the major upset. It would probably have to be on the road. By the way I've watched enough Big10 fotball to know the referees in the conference will doing everything to protect the conference best chance at a NC game appearance from a upset stumble. Do whoever beats them better not let it come down to that.
CMC Quote Master and Director of Football Related Discussions
5 Time POTW & 2 Time WPOTW Winner
Meyer won two NC's at Florida. My theory: he is no longer willing to spend the time a coach spends with the kind of kids he put up with at Florida, and he is serious about taking better care of his health and family. He knows that he can have a long rewarding career In Ohio beating Michigan and winning the conference championship. Ohio and Michigan will dominate their very wealthy and increasingly irrelevant regional conference.
Until sports writers stop ranking teams based on where they think they'll finish due to schedules and start ranking them based on perceived quality of each team, these preseason polls will continue to haunt college football. The polls shouldn't be a prediction contest. I'm curious how many of these writers would put money on OSU vs any of the other top 5 teams.
I don't know what the odds are in terms of raw figures, but do you realize the last time ND went unscathed in back-to-back seasons — meaning neither a defeat nor even a tie — was 1929 and 1930? And back then, they played only nine games in 1929 and 10 in 1930, not 13.
Think about it: Coaches like Nick Saban, Bear Bryant, Ara Parseghian, John McKay, Darrell Royal, Woody Hayes, Bob Devaney, Bobby Bowden, Lou Holtz, Barry Switzer — and even Frank Leahy (who had ties in 1946 and 1948 during the unbeaten run from 1946-49 — among many others, never did it.
The most recent BCS-level team to do it was Nebraska in 1994-95.
Thanks for the info, Lou. I think this is important information. The odds of tOSU running the table, again, are pretty small despite what appears to be a very weak schedule. A one loss tOSU will have a very hard time making it to the ship. The computers hated them last year, and will hate them again this year because of their terrible schedule. When Cal is your toughest non-conference opponent you've got some SOS issues.
I think Wisconsin could surprise some people this year. I know this sounds crazy, but I believe they got a coaching upgrade. I worry, a little, about the transition because it's hard to know how a program will react, without consistency. I wish that game were in Madison, this year, but Wisconsin is always an experiences, mentally tough squad. In fact, they're one of my darkhorse title contenders.
POTW 6.4.2012 - 6.10.2012 & 3.4.2013 - 3.10.2013
The thing about it is it's not so much about running the table during the regular season, but the "finishing" part in the bowl.
• Texas won 30 straight games from 1968-70, but it lost the 1968 opener, won all games in 1969, won all regular season games in 1970 — and lost in the bowl game to ND, 24-11.
• Alabama was unbeaten in 1973 and 1974, but lost the bowl game both times to ND.
• Miami was unbeaten during the 1986 and 1987 regular seasons, but was upset by Penn State in the 1986 Fiesta Bowl.
Same in 2001 and 2002. Miami won them all in 2001 and all the regular season in 2002, but lost in multiple overtime to Ohio State in the 2002 Fiesta Bowl.
• USC lost only one regular season game from 2003-05, but it didn't finish against Texas in the 2005 Rose Bowl.
• Unbeaten ND teams lost final regular season games in 1938, 1964, 1970, 1980, 1989 and 1993.
Alabama under Saban is a "finisher." They didn't go unbeaten either of the last two years, but when given that second chance in the title game, they know how to play and focus.
Lou, the pressure in those final games has to be excruciating. Ask K-State, Oregon or even Alabama. In bowl games it intensifies, and in the NC game, it's exponential. Every game is big, while for the opponents, it may only one game that is big. ND going 12-0 last year, with the kinds of close, pressure-packed games they had was a remarkable achievement, particularly since they didn't have the kind of team that could just blow out softer opponents. When someone runs the table through the NC game, you just have to tip your cap.
Louisville and OSU clearly have the easiest schedules but I agree with Franka and dont think OSU can beat Michigan twice.
6-Time POTW Winner, 4 time at BGI and 2 at 24/7
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