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Heads In The Sand? Landscape Has Changed.

  • per the sporting news....

    The man with the hardest job in America was talking about the beginning of spring practice, about a new time and a new direction.

    With the same old question.

    “It always starts and it always ends,” said Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly, “at the quarterback position.”

    If it were only that simple. The focus, everyone, isn’t on the quarterback position. It’s not about Tommy Rees or Andrew Hendrix or freshman phenom Gunner Kiel.

    It’s about Notre Dame, the program. And where the Irish fit in the rapidly changing world that is college football.

    Late next month, the BCS commissioners and the sport’s television partners will meet in South Florida to continue hammering out drastic change to the postseason. The Plus One playoff—four teams, three games, one national champion—is the preferred model for many administrators.

    The key to Notre Dame’s success—to the program’s survival—is what comes with the Plus One. There is a big push among administrators in both the BCS and non-BCS leagues to eliminate the automatic qualifier status for BCS bowls.

    And here’s where it gets dicey: If the FBS presidents don’t also approve the elimination of standards to qualify for a BCS bowl (see: specific number of wins, BCS ranking), Notre Dame will continue to fall further from relevance outside its huge NBC television contract.

    247Sports: Kelly pleased with first practice

    Not only will it be increasingly harder for the Irish to find a way to the Plus One without an unbeaten or 1-loss season (the last one: 1993), the days of the BCS placating the Irish could be all but over.

    It wasn’t long ago that the BCS agreed to give Notre Dame $1.3 million a year just for the whiff of the potential that the Irish could actually qualify for a BCS bowl. That’s right, the renegotiated BCS contract in 2005 came with a rider that gave Notre Dame money just for being Notre Dame.

    Those days, everyone, are long gone.

    In years past, the Notre Dame athletic director was the strongest man in the room during BCS meetings. How else do you think the university carved out such unthinkable deals that allowed the Irish to play in the Fiesta Bowl in 1994 with a 6-4-1 record? Or get millions of dollars for simply showing up?

    The advent of conference realignment has changed everything. Last month in Dallas, while the 11 conference commissioners met to begin historic change, Irish athletic director Jack Swarbrick may as well have been the commissioner of the MAC.

    There are two men running college football right now (SEC commissioner Mike Slive and Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany), and neither needs Notre Dame to get what they want. The thought process used to be that college football was desperate for Notre Dame’s inclusion; for that one national brand regional products could rotate around and piggyback.

    Now that the sport has grown beyond a regional base, now that monster television contracts have nationally-branded every conference, there is no need for Notre Dame. It also doesn’t help that the Irish haven’t been a factor in the national title chase since 1993, have had four coaches since Lou Holtz retired in 1996, and have lost a majority of their recruiting cache.

    If you think Notre Dame is an out of sight/out of mind brand now, wait until the Plus One puts more emphasis on the four teams that make the playoff—and less on everyone else. Wait until a sport currently consumed by who’s No.1—and the beautiful symphony of arguing that goes with it—devalues such an integral facet of who and what it is by rendering major bowls meaningless.

    There once was a time when Notre Dame refused to play in anything but a major bowl. Last December, the Irish played in the second-best bowl in the city of Orlando.

    From demanding money to be part of the BCS, to playing in something called the Champs Sports Bowl. From anything you want, to very few options.

    There’s no other way to look at it: The next few BCS meetings will determine the fate of the Notre Dame football program.

    If the university presidents decide to eliminate bowl qualification standards, Notre Dame will survive as an independent by playing in major bowls with eight-win seasons. And if the presidents decide to keep the standards?

    Quarterback won’t be Notre Dame’s only problem.

    Read more: http://aol.sportingnews.com/ncaa-football/story/2012-03-21/notre-dame-fighting-irish-brian-kelly-quarterbacks-plus-one-playoff#ixzz1pnbPoEFn

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    IrishWon

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    garyfh

  • He also conveniently forgets to say that we get the 1.3M annually in exchange for getting less money if we should make a BCS Bowl. We used to get all 14M from making a BCS Bowl. Clearly some flaws in the article, but the overall point is correct, whether we like it or not.

    IrishWon

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    IrishWon

  • Head in sands is a lot better then head in ass.....

    GRINGO MAFIA-SERGEANT AT ARMS- ROGUE MEMEBER- MOAT MASTER

    roc351w

  • roc351w said...

    Head in sands is a lot better then head in ass.....

    People

    not media

    tend to support

    a program which

    graduates it 's players with meaningful degrees.

    garyfh

  • IrishWon said...

    He also conveniently forgets to say that we get the 1.3M annually in exchange for getting less money if we should make a BCS Bowl. We used to get all 14M from making a BCS Bowl. Clearly some flaws in the article, but the overall point is correct, whether we like it or not.

    IrishWon

    Correct. I've been saying it since the middle of last season, and I'll say it again. It's time to join a conference.

    My luck with the Irish: 2-4, 3-time POTW

    NYDomer310

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    MrJgame

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    jpv121

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    My luck w/the Irish 18-6...GO IRISH!!!

    simm

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    We're al just dust in the wind.

    KingSolomon

  • KingSolomon said...

    Adding a small playoff that would include four teams wouldn't make the other 100+ teams any less relevant than they alreday are - and that would include ND. Nobody becomes more or less relevant, except for the two teams that are getting a shot at the national title that would not have had that shot without the four-team playoff format.

    (Therefore, this writer's alarmist premise is simply off-base. But we expet that in the offseason, where writers for national publications don't have many issues of national appeal to write about other than the state of the Notre Dame program, which is the only program with truly national appeal).

    King,
    I agree with a lot of what you wrote, but I don't agree with your last sentence....anymore. College football isn't nearly the geo-centric sport it used to be. There are fans of every program scattered across the US now. College fans are becoming much more like NFL fans in that a lot of the *major* programs have followings in many places. People are able to pick teams now that are not just in their own backyards because the teams are on TV a lot these days if they are winning. For instance even Los Angeles I see lots of Texas, Florida and Oregon fans driving around. Much more than in the past. That is what i am talking about when I say the landscape has changed a bit. We no longer have the national fan base we once did, or at least we are not the only ones.
    I know none of us really like this. We want the monopoly on national fan base and want to believe that our program has national appeal above all others, but I am not sure believing it makes it real anymore. Even if *I* wish it did.

    IrishWon

    This post was edited by IrishWon on 3/22/2012 at 1:01 PM

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    IrishWon

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    garyfh

  • IrishWon said...

    King, I agree with a lot of what you wrote, but I don't agree with your last sentence....anymore. College football isn't nearly the geo-centric sport it used to be. There are fans of every program scattered across the US now. College fans are becoming much more like NFL fans in that a lot of the *major* programs have followings in many places. People are able to pick teams now that are not just in their own backyards because the teams are on TV a lot these days if they are winning. For instance even Los Angeles I see lots of Texas, Florida and Oregon fans driving around. Much more than in the past. That is what i am talking about when I say the landscape has changed a bit. We no longer have the national fan base we once did, or at least we are not the only ones. I know none of us really like this. We want the monopoly on national fan base and want to believe that our program has national appeal above all others, but I am not sure believing it makes it real anymore. Even if *I* wish it did.

    IrishWon

    IrishWon,

    I'd agree that there are some other schools that have a national following, but those followings are not nearly what ND has had and still has today. But my point wasn't really meant to be comparing us to everyone else so much as it was meant to highlight the lack of real issues for sports writers to discuss in the offseason (unless there's a high profile investigation going on or something like that). Every single year, it never fails, we get these articles that simply speculate about the relevance of ND football. And my main point was that as things are now, there are only two relevant teams during the bowl games - those playing for the national title. Changing to a four-team playoff simply makes two more teams relevant and doesn't affect the other teams one way or the other. This writer was simply looking for something to write about that would be a bit juicy/interesting/controversial to get people talking, but his main premise is wrong.

    We're al just dust in the wind.

    KingSolomon

  • KingSolomon said...

    IrishWon,

    I'd agree that there are some other schools that have a national following, but those followings are not nearly what ND has had and still has today. But my point wasn't really meant to be comparing us to everyone else so much as it was meant to highlight the lack of real issues for sports writers to discuss in the offseason (unless there's a high profile investigation going on or something like that). Every single year, it never fails, we get these articles that simply speculate about the relevance of ND football. And my main point was that as things are now, there are only two relevant teams during the bowl games - those playing for the national title. Changing to a four-team playoff simply makes two more teams relevant and doesn't affect the other teams one way or the other. This writer was simply looking for something to write about that would be a bit juicy/interesting/controversial to get people talking, but his main premise is wrong.

    I agree with that.

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    IrishWon

  • The article is on point... and the fact fans dont get ND had become irrelevant is hilarious to me...But ND did that to themselves ...truly if you cannot see the landscape of college ball has completely changed then you are missing the point...

    dpoore12

  • The only thing Notre Dame needs to do is win. All the articles about conferences and money/BCS etc....they all become irrelevant if we just win football games. I compare Notre Dame to the Chicago Cubs, it's easy for people to make fun of ND/Cubs when we're loosing. But as soon as we start winning games we aren't supposed to and start crashing BCS/Playoffs you see "fans" come out of the woodworks.
    All in all please just win some games....as cliche and simple as it is Winning isn't everything it truely is the only thing anymore in the football factory known as College Football. (*Graduating 90% the players is still a must*)

    IRISH_reavdaddy

  • I agree, IRISH, ND must win.

    Conferences, bowl game-takes, playoffs. None of it matters if you win. The goal is still to be ND -- though, it may be, by this time, an impossible task. Like the US economy ever again being what it was before October 2008. That boat has probably sailed, and ND's may have departed even earlier.

    But I don't think Kelly was hired for the purpose of ND joining a conference. My sense is that they were once again going to try to get back to the CFB summit as ND on its own terms. I don't see where any of that has as yet been scrapped. It may be a fool's game they're playing, but I think that it's still the game plan.

    Once you start talking about adjusting to the new landscape of CFB, there is an implicit assumption that ND must do so because it can no longer mount an all out frontal attack for the NC and ongoing dominance. Again, that may prove a winning argument, but I don't think the white flag has yet been hoisted.

    Either way, though, it's a moot point. Either ND will claw back to the top on its own terms under Kelly, or it will not. If it does, they can configure CFB any way they want, but ND will still be ND and retain its prerogatives.

    If ND fails under Kelly, then it will have the choice of either marginalizing itself as a semi-irrelevant independent, or join a conference and morph into ND basketball. Good, but don't ever expect a cigar.

    This will be resolved, but we're just not there yet, despite what some feverish scribe short of things to write about may think of the subject.

    Risksorter

  • Well said, Risk. The urgency that many fans express for joining a conference is not likely felt by the university. Most posters, understandably, look at this issue from a football-centered perspective, but the implications go well beyond that. Any decision will be based on what's best, overall, for the university, understanding that the football piece of that will certainly play a significant role. We have gone through fifteen years of football barely on the margins of excellence, and at times, well off those margins. This keeps the drum beat rolling for all kinds of change including independent status, academics, football turf, etc. If the team starts winning consistently and impressively, these concerns will slowly recede into the background. What Notre Dame needs, more than anything else, is to generate buzz. I honestly think we are close.

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    I may not be pretty, but I'm fast..... POTW 1/31/11 - 2/6/11

    HamOnWry22


  • if we win, and keep winning, this conversation goes away. you start going 11 or 12-0, and you have the power to make you're own choices. we've lost that by being a mediocre 7-5, consistently.......

    Run the ball. Stop the run. You win, or lose, up front.

    Coach_Clancy

  • I think we're close, too, Ham, though I've painfully learned not to trust my "intuition" as freely as I once did.

    What I'm sure we are close too, though, is crunch time, the Rubicon, call it what you want. There will be drama this season that will rival -- all season long -- that of the second half of last year's UM game.

    May the outcome, this time, turn in our favor.

    The ingredients are certainly there:

    Kelly's pivot year
    QB up for graps
    9 starters returning on offense
    the best defense in years
    the toughest schedule since Holtz
    the bad taste of the last two years
    last season's early/late season breakdowns
    turnover nation
    the need to maintain recruiting momentum
    the irrelevancy argument

    It will be a telling campaign.

    Risksorter

  • Risksorter said...

    I think we're close, too, Ham, though I've painfully learned not to trust my "intuition" as freely as I once did.

    Risk, I decided to be optimistic about this one. I'm too pretty to develop frown lines at my age. Besides, the best part of optimism is it's free, and I'm as frugal as they come.

    All those factors you cite contribute to my optimism, even the ones that look like obstacles. I really do think we're close to the tipping point.

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    I may not be pretty, but I'm fast..... POTW 1/31/11 - 2/6/11

    HamOnWry22